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A new customer paid, then got refunded. Does the buyer disappear?

If a refund quietly rewrites your acquisition count, last month’s “winning channel” can change without anyone noticing why. Keep the events separate.

Our take

Keep the first positive payment event and the later refund event. Then decide which business question the report answers: customers who first paid, customers whose payment was retained, or net cash received. Those are different measures.

For a channel comparison, write down the observation window. A recent cohort has had less time to refund than an older one. Comparing them without that context can flatter the newest campaign.

The useful table has a stable acquisition definition plus explicit refunds and retained revenue. You can revisit the decision when the cohort matures without pretending the original payment never happened.

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